四月七日 2022 行情分析
周三黄金继续承压下跌,但是跌幅有限,根据美联储会议纪要显示,未来如果通胀持续恶化,那么美联储将可能采取50点的激进加息策略,而且最早可能在5月份开始缩减资产负债表。因周三的会议纪要并没有超出市场预期的内容,黄金在周三的动力也相对温和,呈现震荡整理的走势,从长期黄金依然关注俩个点,一是俄乌局势的演变和通胀的演变,这俩者是目前支撑黄金的主要因素。所以目前我们也需要关注,未来美联储和各大央行能否控制住通胀,这将决定黄金未来的方向问题,另外周三国债收益率继续上升,10年期国债触及2.65%上方的高点,美元也在走强,这对以美元计价的大宗商品来说也可能是一个负面因素,不过黄金走势上并没有跌破1914的分界点,综合影响下周三黄金呈现震荡偏弱的走势。
技术方面:黄金周三收成小阳线,动力方向不明 ,K线组合呈现孕线形态,这类形态如果一旦有所突破,那么未来将可能产生较大的行情,从形态来看,目前黄金呈现下跌三角形收敛,当前也处于末端行情,有大概率突破的可能。
1小时图,黄金在本周美盘时间,都会有所下跌,这给了我们短线操作的思路,所以本周行情可能会延续这样的节奏走势,投资者可能等待交易实际,上方压力位置1933-1940-1950,下方支撑:1922-1920-1916.
以上分析仅为市场研究员观点,仅供参考,不作为具体投资建议。
南师
从事外汇、股票、期货等金融交易数十年,同时精通EA编码与研发,结合量、价、时、空理论自创曲式缠论,缠中说禅,交易盈利连续保持数年正增长。
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